Antiincombancy factor seems higher in Ambedkarnagar district of UP
Political conditions in assembly polls in Ambedkarnagar district in UP appear difficult for BSP. In this article we wants to know the political equation,cast equation,geographical conditions of assembly seats in Ambedkarnagar district of Uttar Pradesh.
In Ambedkarnagar district the Dalits are still seems in favour of Bahujan Samaj Party. So in the birth place of Samajbadi Party icon Dr Ram Manohar Lohia Bahujan Samaj Party capture all five assembly seats in 2007 and Member of parliament. Jila Panchayat president as well as all 7 Block Pramukh belongs Bahujan Samaj Party means in political scenario this district is blue rock. But in changing scenario the blue rock seems to break en. To break the blue rock of district Samajbadi Party youth icon represents large number of rallies.
The solid presence of BSP also create offend into the eyes of SP supremo Mulayam Singh and Congress prince Rahul Gandhi. Both try to break it but till SP seems major opponent in the path of BSP. Rahul organize Dalits representative development sammelan in 2010 while Mulayam tries to increase his speed by creating new cast equation at ground level.
24% Dalits and 12% Brahmins of district act as a cement and sand for blue rock at all five assembly seats. In 2012 assembly elections this equation can move away which can become major negative factor for Samajbadi Party. Pavan Panday main Brahmin leader of district is unhappy due to denying of his ticket from BSP and busy in other district Sultanpur Isauli assembly seat in campaigning to his brother.
Samajwadi Party try to gain sympathy of Brahmin voters by drawing support of Congress leader Priyadarshi Jetly in his favour. Priyadarshi Jetly once is the close friend of Kamlapati Tripathi and Narayan Datt Tiwari. Mulayam sitting along with Jately in rally of Katariya Yakubpur bag occur at 24th January is in talks. Brahmin and Dalit combine seems broken also affect result of elections. Muslim colonies environment also appears different this time. Muslim also played important role in winning of BSP in 2007. More importantly SP flags appears in Bunkar community houses. It also a topic of talks that the package given to Bunkar community gave more help to banks. The free electricity promise of Samajbadi Party to Bunkars produce greater attraction. The hissing of sound is also reaches to the top leadership of BSP so they changes the area of their two sitting MLA (Lalji Verma and Dharmraj Nisad) ,and also cut the ticket of one minister (Ramachal Rajbhar). Sher Bahadur Singh former MLA also join SP and left BSP. BSP candidates try to jump the developmental issues along with cast equation. The issue is strong because Mahamaya Rajkiya Medical College,Agriculture Engineering College,Polytechnic,Manyabar Kashiram Information and Technology Engineering College and flyover in Akbarpur shows strong presence of development. One of the point of this development is personal interest of Mayawti in this district because after existence of this district in 1995 in BSP government Mayawati itself elected 3 times MP and 1 times MLA. 3 schooled,1 tahsil,1hospitaled Akbarpur now have Maruti Showroom,Shops of branded clothes,AC restaurants of fast foods. But in cast ism politics the increasing growth rate not become a effective factor.
Important facts about Ambedkarnagar district of UP
*1-Shahjadpur is the birth place of Dr Ram Manohar Lohia.
*2-Kichhochha Sharik Dargah.
*3-Shravan Area (according to mythology in this place King Dashrath killed Shravan Kumar).
*4-Considered in country's 250 and states 34 backward districts.
*5-Agriculture and Bunkar major resources.
*6-District came into existence in 1995 BSP government.
Political equation Ambedkarnagar district in UP
Total population-23,98,709.
Total voters-14,90,386.
Female sex ratio-976.
Population increasing rate-18.35%.
Literacy rate-74.37%.
Dalits-24%.
Muslims-16%.
Brahmin-12%.
Kurmi-13%.
Yadav-8%.
Thakur-5%.
Rajbhar-3%.
Political scenario of all assembly seats in Ambedkarnagar district of UP
Akbarpur assembly seat
Ramachal Rajbhar strong minister represent this seat continuously four times by support of Dalits along with Brahmins. This time condition seems different. It may be possible due to this reason Ramachal Rajbhar son Sanjay Rajbhar fielded in these election. People of Akbarpur not easily digest the unexpected increasing lifestyle and involvement of their close persons in criminal activities. The absence of district strong Brahmin leader Pavan Panday in these election also raise question mark. Sanjay main opposition candidate is SP Rammurti Verma as in last election. Verma dreaming to win this time due to antiincombancy factor as well as support of Priyadarshni Jetly. Congress youth leader Amit Jaiswal and Ramchandra Upadhyas of BJP try to make their place too. Amit seems more active his wife is also Jila Panchayat Member from this seat. Vaishya Samaj also looks active due to presence of Amit.
Tanda assembly seat
The unhappiness of Brahmins and return of Muslim in favor of SP create problems for BSP on Tanda assembly seat. Bunkar generally decide the result on this 30% Muslim voters seat. Last time they divide equally between SP and BSP even than SP candidate obtained 66000 votes. Congress fielded Dr Masood former minister of BSP minister without ignoring Muslim voters. Local Congress workers not easily digest their ticket with entry into the party. SP candidate Azimulhuq represent Pasmanda community. BSP fielded older Samajbadi Vishal Verma in place of Lalji Verma. Main battle seems to shrink between SPandBSP. BJP candidate Shivpujan Verma not able to enter into the main battle.
Jalalpur assembly seat
In Jalalpur assembly seat the main battle seems between SP candidate Sherbahadur Singh and BSP candidate Ritesh Panday som of present MP Rakesh Panday. MLA Arunkant Yadav son of Azamgarh MP Ramakant Yadav and Congress youth leader Arvind Panday try hard to make the battle interesting. Sherbahadur represent this seat as an independent,Congress and BJP candidate. If he wins from SP makes a different kind of record. This seat is the only seat at which Brahmins seems with BSP due to same cast candidate.
Katehari assembly seat
Legislative assembly working minister Lalji Verma choose Katehari seat left their own seat. This seat have major Kurmi voters. Lalji Verma working regularly on Kurmi voters from last many years. Dalits seems unhappy but remain intact with BSP. In stead of it SP candidate former MP Shankhlal Majhi appears as strong candidate at each booth. Congress candidate Amit Verma and BJP candidate Ramashankar Singh tries hard to shows their presence in the main battle but this not seems.
Aalapur(Reserved)seat
Tribhuvan Datt minister is in critical battle in Aalapur. Here three former MLA fielded by three parties. The condition of Congress candidate Jairam Vimal Ex-MLA,BJP candidate K Trivedi Ram and SP candidate Bhim Sonkar seems similar which makes the path of Tribhuvan easy.
